Northern Iowa vs. Arkansas Prediction, Picks, and Preview for 11/17/2021 (2023)

Northern Iowa takes on Arkansas on 11/17/2021 at 20:00.

Hello friends, we have predictions for the Northern Iowa-Arkansas game. It is time to get rolling with our preview! Northern Iowa has a record of 1-2 this season. Arkansas is 2-0 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Northern Iowa Team Defense Preview

Their defense is above average relative to other teams. Now that we know what the overall defense looks like, it is time to understand why this defense is the way it is. Defensively, they are above average at stifling opponent ball movement. Opponents are a little bit disjointed against them. Sometimes defenses are very focused on forcing bad shots and getting the defensive rebound. Is there anything to support this? It may be just possible that this is a passive defense.
They are an average team when it comes to the shot quality of their opponents. They yield a lot of three point shot attempts more so than most teams. They feature a decent perimeter defense that is able to force some bad three point shots. They are an average team when it comes to the shot quality of their opponents inside the perimeter. Blocked shots are not a part of their DNA. Likely a lack of size contributing to it. This is an elite level defensive rebounding team. Falling more than two standard deviations from the mean, this is impressive and indicative of a team that should have more on the horizon.

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Northern Iowa Team Offense Preview

Their offensive efficiency is 102.9, which makes them a below average offense and that means there is room for improvement, but will they actually improve? This analysis would be woefully incomplete without going into further detail aside from just an offensive efficiency rating. Compared to the rest of the league, there is a sense of neutrality about ball movement to set up 2 point shots. They do an above average job protecting the basketball and making decisions on offense.
Their Effective Field Goal Rate is 0.506, which considered to be below average. Their True Shooting Percentage is 0.537 which considered to be below average. They attempt 0.442 of their shots from three point range. They fall right around average in College Basketball. They made 0.315 of their shots from three point range. They would be considered below average from beyond the arc. Getting to the Free Throw Line is a neutral part of the offensive mindset and approach. They made 0.672 of their shots from the Free Throw Line. They would be considered below average from the charity stripe. They have an abysmal offensive rebounding rate of 21.2% this season. Offensive rebounding is not their thing, it should be important. They are socially distancing on the offensive glass!

Arkansas Team Defense Preview

They have an elite level defense and fans may not appreciate it because they get so fixated on scoring, dunks, and drama, but this defense is as good as it gets right now. This analysis would be woefully incomplete without going into further detail aside from just a defensive efficiency rating. Stopping ball movement is a problem for this offense. Backdoor cuts and kick out three point shots can be had against them. Maybe, they do a good job stopping the dribble drive? Nothing will blow you away about their ability to force live ball turnovers.
They are a below average team when it comes to their ability to force bad shots. Opponents like to shoot a lot of threes against them, some of it is scheduling. However, it must be the offensive response to this defense and this must explain why they have one of the highest rates of three point shots against them. They are a below average team when it comes to their ability to defend the three point shot. They are an average team when it comes to the shot quality of their opponents inside the perimeter. Their ability to block shots is above average. This is an elite level defensive rebounding team. Falling more than two standard deviations from the mean, this is impressive and indicative of a team that should have more on the horizon.

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Arkansas Team Offense Preview



You should not have high expectations considering their offensive efficiency is 114.3, but relatively speaking it is still a slightly above-average offense. Now that we know what the overall offense looks like, it is time to understand why this offense is the way it is. They like to use ball movement to set up shot attempts in two point range. They do an above average job protecting the basketball and making decisions on offense.
Their Effective Field Goal Rate is 0.549, which considered to be slightly above average. Their True Shooting Percentage is 0.569 which considered to be slightly above average. They attempt 0.39 of their shots from three point range. They fall right around average in College Basketball. They made 0.396 of their shots from three point range. They are a slightly above average three point shooting team. The Charity Stripe is not an emphasized part of the offense. They made 0.676 of their shots from the Free Throw Line. They would be considered below average from the charity stripe. They successfully retrieved 33.3% of their missed shots. They are a slightly above average rebounding team.

The Northern Iowa Roster

The Players to Watch for Northern Iowa
AJ Green 6-4 189 pound Guard
AJ Green sports a 5.7 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. This season, he is a bit of a non-factor on the floor. The hope is that this season he can improve and show what he can do. He is considered one of the key players on the floor when he is out there playing.
Offensive Breakdown
AJ Green attempted 0.5 of his shots from three point range. This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. He made 0.267 of his three point shots fired this season. This season, he would be considered an average three point shooter. AJ Green shot 0.267 inside the perimeter. He is very inefficient inside the perimeter taking long jump shots and not showing an ability to finish at the rim. He is not efficient in his scoring attempts regardless of where it takes place.
His ability to crash the boards on the offensive end is average.His ability to distribute the ball to his teammates is on-par with others in College Basketball. He is an average player when it comes to his ability to avoid committing turnovers.
Defensive Breakdown
When you are defensive sink like AJ Green opponents will try to find a way to exploit it on the offensive end. He is an average defensive rebounder who is serviceable in his role. He is not a shot blocker. A capable enough defender to be disruptive, but AJ Green is inconsistent in his efforts to get steals.
Trae Berhow 6-5 198 pound Guard
Trae Berhow sports a 4.3 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. This season, he is a bit of a non-factor on the floor. The hope is that this season he can improve and show what he can do. His participation rate is average on the floor, he is not expected to carry the load in any way.
Offensive Breakdown
Trae Berhow attempted 0.7 of his shots from three point range. He is considered one of the more frequent three point shooters in the conference. He made 0.357 of his three point shots fired this season. This season, he would be considered an average three point shooter. Trae Berhow shot 0.333 inside the perimeter. He is very inefficient inside the perimeter taking long jump shots and not showing an ability to finish at the rim. His ability to score is not necessarily anything to behold and amassing points in his case is a matter of volume rather than efficiency.
His ability to crash the boards on the offensive end is average.His ability to distribute the ball to his teammates is on-par with others in College Basketball. He is a turnover prone player and he is a target for defenses. Playing more physical against him or making sure to jump his passes may be a good idea.
Defensive Breakdown
When you are defensive sink like Trae Berhow opponents will try to find a way to exploit it on the offensive end. He is a leader in his conference as a defensive rebounder. He is not a shot blocker. A capable enough defender to be disruptive, but Trae Berhow is inconsistent in his efforts to get steals.
Nate Heise 6-4 191 pound Guard
Nate Heise sports a 6.7 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. This season, he is a bit of a non-factor on the floor. The hope is that this season he can improve and show what he can do. He is not a very active participant on the floor. He may even be considered just a screener or a warm body out there.
Offensive Breakdown
Nate Heise attempted 0.231 of his shots from three point range. This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. Nate Heise shot 0.0 from long range this season. He comes into this season viewed as a poor three point shooter. He made 0.5 of his two point shots attempted this season. He is not a remarkable scorer inside the perimeter. He is not efficient in his scoring attempts regardless of where it takes place.
His ability to crash the boards on the offensive end is average.His ability to distribute the ball to his teammates is on-par with others in College Basketball. He is an average player when it comes to his ability to avoid committing turnovers.
Defensive Breakdown
An average defensive player making an average impact for his team. We shall see if there is more to this. He does not put an effort to attacking the glass and pulling down rebounds. He is not a shot blocker. A capable enough defender to be disruptive, but Nate Heise is inconsistent in his efforts to get steals.
Austin Phyfe 6-9 250 pound Forward
Austin Phyfe sports a 25.3 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. There is potential for much more this season than his campaign this season. Consider that he is one of the better players in the conference and he can mean much more. His participation rate is average on the floor, he is not expected to carry the load in any way.
Offensive Breakdown
Austin Phyfe attempted 0.214 of his shots from three point range. This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. Austin Phyfe shot 0.333 from long range this season. This season, he would be considered an average three point shooter. Austin Phyfe shot 0.818 inside the perimeter. He gets his work done inside the restricted arc and has shown a strong ability to finish at the rim while showing great restraint to avoid less optimal shots. He is among the most efficient in his ability to score. As a shooter regardless of where he is, he makes something damaging happen for opponents.
His ability to crash the boards on the offensive end is average.He is one of the best at creating scoring opportunities for his teammates. He is an average player when it comes to his ability to avoid committing turnovers.
Defensive Breakdown
An average defensive player making an average impact for his team. We shall see if there is more to this. He is a leader in his conference as a defensive rebounder. A strong shot-blocker who must be accounted for by opponents looking to attack the basket or post up on him. He is also not very adept at being defensively disruptive and forcing live ball turnovers.
Tywhon Pickford 6-4 200 pound Guard
Tywhon Pickford sports a 16.2 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. In the grand scheme of things, he is an average College Basketball player this season as far as his contributions are concerned. His participation rate is average on the floor, he is not expected to carry the load in any way.
Offensive Breakdown
Tywhon Pickford this season has 0.318 of his shots attempted from 3 point range This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. He made 0.0 of his three point shots fired this season. He comes into this season viewed as a poor three point shooter. He made 0.733 of his two point shots attempted this season. He is a solid finisher at the rim and his shot selection is generally strong inside the perimeter. His ability to score is not necessarily anything to behold and amassing points in his case is a matter of volume rather than efficiency.
His ability to crash the boards on the offensive end is average.His ability to distribute the ball to his teammates is on-par with others in College Basketball. He is an average player when it comes to his ability to avoid committing turnovers.
Defensive Breakdown
When you are defensive sink like Tywhon Pickford opponents will try to find a way to exploit it on the offensive end. He is an average defensive rebounder who is serviceable in his role. He is not a shot blocker. A capable enough defender to be disruptive, but Tywhon Pickford is inconsistent in his efforts to get steals.
Antwan Kimmons 6-0 185 pound Guard
Antwan Kimmons has a 13.2 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. In the grand scheme of things, he is an average College Basketball player this season as far as his contributions are concerned. He is considered one of the key players on the floor when he is out there playing.
Offensive Breakdown
Antwan Kimmons attempted 0.35 of his shots from three point range. This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. Antwan Kimmons shot 0.429 from long range this season. He is considered an above-average three point shooter and a threat who must be contained on the perimeter. Antwan Kimmons shot 0.385 inside the perimeter. He is very inefficient inside the perimeter taking long jump shots and not showing an ability to finish at the rim. His ability to score is not necessarily anything to behold and amassing points in his case is a matter of volume rather than efficiency.
His ability to crash the boards on the offensive end is average.He is a stronger distributor than most that is for sure, but he is not among the elite. He is a turnover prone player and he is a target for defenses. Playing more physical against him or making sure to jump his passes may be a good idea.
Defensive Breakdown
When you are defensive sink like Antwan Kimmons opponents will try to find a way to exploit it on the offensive end. He is an average defensive rebounder who is serviceable in his role. He is not a shot blocker. Watch out on the passing lanes, he will use his length and athleticism to force turnovers. He may even pick your pocket, opponents should be wary.

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The Arkansas Roster

The Players to Watch for Arkansas
JD Notae 6-1 195 pound Guard
JD Notae sports a 30.0 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. He is among the best in the conference and even in the country as far as his on-the-court contributions. Definitely, a player to watch and opponents will have him scouted. Few teams have a player like him to take on that much of the workload.
Offensive Breakdown
JD Notae this season has 0.538 of his shots attempted from 3 point range He is considered one of the more frequent three point shooters in the conference. He made 0.429 of his three point shots fired this season. He is considered an above-average three point shooter and a threat who must be contained on the perimeter. He made 0.5 of his two point shots attempted this season. He is not a remarkable scorer inside the perimeter. His ability to score is not necessarily anything to behold and amassing points in his case is a matter of volume rather than efficiency.
This season, when shots were missed, JD Notae is certainly not there to help his team get a second chance opportunity.His ability to distribute the ball to his teammates is on-par with others in College Basketball. He is among the best in the country at not turning the ball over.
Defensive Breakdown
JD Notae has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. He does not put an effort to attacking the glass and pulling down rebounds. He is not a shot blocker. An aggressive defender who is among the best at successfully forcing live ball turnovers in every which way. He learned the Art of the Steal.
Davonte Davis 6-3 180 pound Guard
Davonte Davis sports a 7.6 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. This season, he is a bit of a non-factor on the floor. The hope is that this season he can improve and show what he can do. He is not a very active participant on the floor. He may even be considered just a screener or a warm body out there.
Offensive Breakdown
Davonte Davis attempted 0.3 of his shots from three point range. This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. Davonte Davis shot 0.667 from long range this season. He is a sharpshooter from long range and his ability to shoot three point shots must be respected. He made 0.286 of his two point shots attempted this season. He is very inefficient inside the perimeter taking long jump shots and not showing an ability to finish at the rim. His ability to score is not necessarily anything to behold and amassing points in his case is a matter of volume rather than efficiency.
His ability to crash the boards on the offensive end is average.He is a stronger distributor than most that is for sure, but he is not among the elite. His inability to prevent himself from committing turnovers is a massive liability for his team.
Defensive Breakdown
He is a strong defender who makes a positive impact for his team on the defensive end. He is an average defensive rebounder who is serviceable in his role. He is not a shot blocker. An aggressive defender who is among the best at successfully forcing live ball turnovers in every which way. He learned the Art of the Steal.
Jaylin Williams 6-10 245 pound Forward
Jaylin Williams has a 12.8 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. In the grand scheme of things, he is an average College Basketball player this season as far as his contributions are concerned. He is not a very active participant on the floor. He may even be considered just a screener or a warm body out there.
Offensive Breakdown
Jaylin Williams attempted 0.5 of his shots from three point range. This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. Jaylin Williams shot 0.0 from long range this season. He comes into this season viewed as a poor three point shooter. He made 0.667 of his two point shots attempted this season. He is a solid finisher at the rim and his shot selection is generally strong inside the perimeter. He is not efficient in his scoring attempts regardless of where it takes place.
You can expect him to crash the boards on a consistent basis on the offensive end, his success is better than most. He is one of the best at creating scoring opportunities for his teammates. His inability to prevent himself from committing turnovers is a massive liability for his team.
Defensive Breakdown
Jaylin Williams has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. Windex has found their new pitchman and his abilities on the defensive glass certainly warrant such a Dick Vitale-ism. He is one of the best shot-blockers in College Basketball, opponents have to game plan around him and he is an insurance policy of sorts for his team on the defensive end. This may enable them to take more risks defensively knowing he can erase shots. A capable enough defender to be disruptive, but Jaylin Williams is inconsistent in his efforts to get steals.
Au’Diese Toney 6-6 210 pound Guard
Au’Diese Toney has a 23.3 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. There is potential for much more this season than his campaign this season. Consider that he is one of the better players in the conference and he can mean much more. His participation rate is average on the floor, he is not expected to carry the load in any way.
Offensive Breakdown
Au’Diese Toney attempted 0.077 of his shots from three point range. He is not considered a frequent shooter from three point range. Au’Diese Toney shot 0.0 from long range this season. He comes into this season viewed as a poor three point shooter. He made 0.667 of his two point shots attempted this season. He is a solid finisher at the rim and his shot selection is generally strong inside the perimeter. When he puts up a shot, there is meaning to it. It is of great consequence and he is able to score.
He is one of the best at creating second chance scoring opportunities in the country, his ability to grab offensive rebounds is very difficult to beat. His ability to distribute the ball to his teammates is on-par with others in College Basketball. He is an average player when it comes to his ability to avoid committing turnovers.
Defensive Breakdown
An average defensive player making an average impact for his team. We shall see if there is more to this. Windex has found their new pitchman and his abilities on the defensive glass certainly warrant such a Dick Vitale-ism. He is not a shot blocker. A capable enough defender to be disruptive, but Au’Diese Toney is inconsistent in his efforts to get steals.
Stanley Umude 6-6 210 pound Guard
Stanley Umude sports a 12.0 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. In the grand scheme of things, he is an average College Basketball player this season as far as his contributions are concerned. His participation rate is average on the floor, he is not expected to carry the load in any way.
Offensive Breakdown
Stanley Umude this season has 0.143 of his shots attempted from 3 point range He is not considered a frequent shooter from three point range. Stanley Umude shot 0.5 from long range this season. He is considered an above-average three point shooter and a threat who must be contained on the perimeter. Stanley Umude shot 0.5 inside the perimeter. He is not a remarkable scorer inside the perimeter. His ability to score is not necessarily anything to behold and amassing points in his case is a matter of volume rather than efficiency.
His ability to crash the boards on the offensive end is average.He is a stronger distributor than most that is for sure, but he is not among the elite. He is an average player when it comes to his ability to avoid committing turnovers.
Defensive Breakdown
An average defensive player making an average impact for his team. We shall see if there is more to this. He is an average defensive rebounder who is serviceable in his role. He is not a shot blocker. He is also not very adept at being defensively disruptive and forcing live ball turnovers.
Chris Lykes 5-7 160 pound Guard
Chris Lykes sports a 16.7 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. In the grand scheme of things, he is an average College Basketball player this season as far as his contributions are concerned. His participation rate is average on the floor, he is not expected to carry the load in any way.
Offensive Breakdown
Chris Lykes this season has 0.25 of his shots attempted from 3 point range This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. Chris Lykes shot 0.667 from long range this season. He is a sharpshooter from long range and his ability to shoot three point shots must be respected. Chris Lykes shot 0.444 inside the perimeter. He is not a remarkable scorer inside the perimeter. When he puts up a shot, there is meaning to it. It is of great consequence and he is able to score.
This season, when shots were missed, Chris Lykes is certainly not there to help his team get a second chance opportunity.His ability to distribute the ball to his teammates is on-par with others in College Basketball. He is among the best in the country at not turning the ball over.
Defensive Breakdown
An average defensive player making an average impact for his team. We shall see if there is more to this. He does not put an effort to attacking the glass and pulling down rebounds. He is not a shot blocker. He is also not very adept at being defensively disruptive and forcing live ball turnovers.

Northern Iowa vs. Arkansas Prediction, Picks, and Odds

Prediction: Northern Iowa 78 Arkansas 92
Spread Pick: Arkansas -12.5 -110 Bovada Get up to $750 with the promo code ‘BTCSWB750’
Over Pick: Over 140.5 -110 Bovada Get up to $750 with the promo code ‘BTCSWB750’

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